How Much is the Mockingjay Pin Worth?

March 19, 2012 in Snips

The Mockingjay pin that Katniss is given has played a prominent role in the film’s marketing. The pin itself is made of solid gold and Katniss states that “the pin could keep a family in bread for a month.” How does that translate into dollar terms?

We’ve previously argued that the levels of poverty seen in Panem are likely similar to those seen in Brazil. Brazilians spend about 25% of their income on food. Brazil has a PPP-Adjusted GDP per Capita of $11,800. So Brazilians make $983 in a month and spend $245.75 of it on food. Therefore the pin is worth about $250.

With some mathematics then we can estimate how much the pin weighs. The price of gold has become a little crazy recently, what with the entire western world on the brink of an apocalyptic collapse. Back in the sunnier days of 2005 when the biggest things we had to worry about were a nuclear capable North Korea, an irritating house guest named Katrina, and a (possibly dystopian) future where face transplants became the norm, gold was worth $512 a troy ounce (about 31.1 grams). Therefore Katniss’ $250 pin weighs around 15 grams.

Our Future is in Coffee Shops

March 19, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

Stephen Gordon argues that in the future everything will become a glorified coffee shop. Examples and the reasoning for this include:

  • Universities. In a world where MIT is offering courses online for free, who needs to go to university for classes? Instead university will be about networking, tutoring and socializing – essentially a giant coffee shop.
  • Bookstores. You can purchase all your books and store them in your pocket through devices like Kindles. In the future you’re more likely to go to Barnes and Nobel for the coffee rather than the books.
  • Retailers. You can do all your shopping online through your laptop while you sip on coffee. Wouldn’t you rather do that than go to Walmart?
  • Offices. As office equipment became more sophisticated it was necessary to centralize tasks in an office, where one machine could serve the needs of many. But as hardware has become cheaper and cheaper all you really need is a place your clients can reach you and your employees can get work done. A coffee-shop type establishment sounds ideal.
  • Places of worship. It’ll take time, but they are already building coffee shops within them.

To read more about why each of these things are likely to happen (the part on office spaces is particularly interesting), as well as the role that 3-D printing will have to play in all this, click here.

Source: The Speculist

Via: Kottke

Watson Finds a Job

March 19, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

It seems that even the beloved Watson has found a job for himself in this economy. Beth Jinks reports that Watson, of jeopardy fame, will soon be making billions of dollars, although he’s unlikely to have the opportunity to keep any of it. Instead the revenue will go straight into the pocket of its owner, IBM:

  • Watson’s ability to process natural language and comb through large datasets gives it a wide variety of applications in the business world.
  • Health care providers have already been taking advantage of Watson’s services. Citigroup is the first financial services firm to do so.
  • IBM believes that Watson is currently suited to manage portfolio risk. It monitors sources of information including conventional news sources but also sites like Facebook.
  • Watson is expected to earn $2.65 billion in 2015.

To read more about some of Watson’s competitors, areas where the software still lags, and other applications for the loveable computer system click here.

Source: Bloomberg

Via: Marginal Revolution

The Economics of Marketing The Hunger Games

March 18, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

The Hunger Games, a series of books that has been compared to both Harry Potter and Twilight, premieres a movie by the same name on March 23rd. The Wall Street Journal looked at some of the considerations involved in marketing the film.

  • The book series is more popular with females, but male moviegoers drive blockbuster openings and ticketing sales. Lionsgate’s challenge then is to attract male viewers without alienating the female fanbase.
  • The fear is that males will not want to be seen going into movie theaters with a primarily female audience.
  • The film makers have partly dealt with this problem by focusing more on the heroic parts of the book rather than the relationship aspects of it.
  • The advertising campaign for the books and movies have also tried to focus on male oriented things such as video games and promotions during the Supwerbowl
  • The publisher of the book series, Scholastic, have themselves dealt with this problem by having a gold symbol of a bird on the cover rather than a picture of the female protagonist.

To read what it means for The Hunger Games to be a four quadrant movie, why people might be yelling “Teem Peeta” in the theaters, and why older males might be the next wave click here.

Interested in the struggles of Katniss Everdeen? Take a look at our analysis of the population of Panem here and check back next week for multiple articles on Centives’ analysis of The Economics of The Hunger Games.

Source: The Wall Street Journal

Via: Marginal Revolution

What Will Beggars do in a Cashless Society?

March 18, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

Slate has produced a series of articles examining what a society without cash will look like. Will Oremus looked at some of the consequences for beggars:

  • Beggars make a fair amount of money, in the millions of dollars, through people who want to get rid of their loose change.
  • Beggars can make use of mobile phone technologies that allow for the wireless transfer of funds. On the plus side people would be able to give more since they wouldn’t be limited to the change in their pocket. On the other hand people might be willing to give less if they’ll see it as a direct expense in their banking statements.
  • It might also undermine the message of begging if beggars start waving around mobile phones while asking for money.
  • This might lead to a future where beggars are given tangible goods instead of cash.

To read more about the amount of money you can make through begging, how charities such as UNICEF are adjusting to a cash-less society, and Denver’s surprising experiment, click here.

Source: Slate

Chess Introduces a Cleavage Rule

March 17, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

The ECU recently instituted a dress code for chess tournaments. Anastasiya Karlovich went over some of the highlights of the new policy:

  • The “cleavage rule” states that the second from the top button may be open.
  • Miniskirts are no longer allowed.
  • The people behind the rule point out that all sports have uniforms and chess was just joining those ranks. The problem was that people were showing up to tournaments in beach-wear.
  • Hats are also no longer allowed.

To read some of the other rules, how the dress code compares to the one instituted in tennis, and some exceptions to the rules click here.

Source: Chessbase

Via: Marginal Revolution

The Rising Costs of Policing

March 17, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

In a wide ranging article that looks at the rising costs of law enforcement in the United States, Stephan Salisbury’s look at some of the examples of potential police excess stand out:

  • One county in Texas has purchased a weapons capable drone.
  • New York’s Police Department purchased submarines.
  • Tampa is equipping its surveillance helicopters with digital video uplinks.
  • Tampa also added an eight ton armored personnel carrier to its existing fleet of two tanks.

To see the dollar amounts that the United States has spent in developing security systems since 9/11, other examples of the technology being used to combat terrorist threats, and what this suggests about the United States, click here.

Source: Salon

Lehigh Beats Duke

March 16, 2012 in Snips

Lehigh Wins!

Centives’ projections about Lehigh’s chances in the game seem to have been accurate. After a tough first half Lehigh led for most of the second half to win by a slender 5 point margin. This is the second largest margin by which a #15 seed has beaten a #2 seed. (In 1997 #15 Coppin State beat #2 South Carolina by 13 points.)

In our write-up we noted that it had been over a decade since a #15 seed had beaten a #2 seed and it was about time that it happened again. It turns out the 11 year gap between such an event happening (the longest in NCAA history) was enough for the gods of probability to dictate that it would happen twice this year. Over in Nebraska the #15 seeded Norfolk State Spartans are also celebrating.

The last time 2010 champions Duke were eliminated in the second round was Read the rest of this entry →

Female Billionaires

March 16, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

A record 104 women made the 2012 Forbes billionaire list, although it continued to be dominated by men. Life Inc. took a look at some of the more colourful women that made the cut, including:

  • Laurene Powell Jobs, the widow of Steve Jobs, who after the inheritance from her husband is estimated to be worth $9 billion.
  • France has the richest European female billionaire in Liliane Bettencourt, worth $24 billion, mostly due to L’Oreal.
  • India has the richest Asian female billionaire in Savitri Jindal, worth $20.9 billion, with her wealth coming from the steel industry.
  • The richest women in the world is American Christy Walton, of Wal-Mart fame, worth $25.3 billion.

To read about the 30 year old who lost $12 billion (you thought your day was bad), the woman who turned $5,000 into $1 billion, and a woman who happens to be from Mars, click here.

Source: Life Inc.

Privacy Policies and the American Economy

March 16, 2012 in Daily Bulletin

Alexis Madrigal reports on a study done on the privacy policies that we all mindlessly agree to:

  • The median length of the privacy policy of the 75 top websites is ~2,500 words.
  • On average people read 250 words a minute.
  • The average American is estimated to visit around 1500 websites a month.
  • To read the privacy policy of all the websites you visit would require 76, 8-hour work days.
  • Across the United States that’s 53.8 billion hours of reading time.
  • This puts the opportunity cost of reading privacy policies at $781 billion – more than the GDP of Florida.

To read more details of the analysis, why this is probably an under-estimate, and what this tells us about the way we deal with privacy, click here.

Source: The Atlantic

Via: Marginal Revolution

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