Surge Pricing Comes To The Restaurant Industry

An elite London restaurant is experimenting with surge pricing wrote Richard Vines: The Bob Bob Rica

People Are Using Ubers Instead Of Ambulances

Brad Jones wrote about an unexpected healthcare cost reduction method: Getting into an ambulance can

Why Have A President When You Can Have A Monarch?

Leslie Wayne wrote about today’s monarchists: The International Monarchist League argues that

 

Dexter: Serial Killer or Fiscal Miracle?

December 28, 2011 in Editorial

It has seized on a deep seated fear in American culture and triumphed in ratings and critical reviews: Dexter, the show about a serial killer whose targets are well… other serial killers. Dexter Morgan, the main character and lab geek working for Miami metro homicide is played by actor Michael C. Hall and throughout the series happens upon more than his fair share of fellow serial killers. He not only has a knack for jiu-jitsu but also an uncanny ability to recognize his fellow killers. It seems a bit strange that there are so many serial killers in Miami for Dexter to find, especially since the FBI estimates that there are probably only about 100 serial killers active in the entire US at any one time (and that is on the high end). Even so, it is interesting to note that Dexter performs some kind of service to the city of Miami when he disposes of these serial killers. Regardless of the moral implications of his actions, he undoubtedly saves money for the Miami police department and federal government by removing his peers. Assuming all of these individuals would actually be pursued by police investigators, vast resources would need to be utilized in labor costs alone. For instance, 13 people were killed by Dexter in the first season alone.

Centives investigated the cost of attempting to catch a large-scale serial killer located in a major US city and found it to be around 265,000 dollars per day in current dollars. In order to determine the approximate savings realized through a lack of inquiry into Dexter’s victims, Centives estimates that about half of the serial killers would eventually be investigated. Son of Sam, a notorious serial killer in New York, was investigated for about a year before he was caught, and so this was a benchmark for our timeframe for each investigation. With these numbers, in just one season of Dexter, 7 serial killers would be investigated for about a year each at a cost of 265,000 dollars a day. This would yield a result of a staggering 677 million dollars. Because, many resources would overlap, this number should be reduced somewhat, so our final estimate is about 500 million dollars. Off hand, this number seems very high, but keep in mind, the odds of 7 serial killers being investigated in one city in this short of a time is extremely low. If however we assume there is just one major investigation in this span of time, Dexter saves the government 96 million dollars. Whether he is good or evil, one thing is for certain, Dexter is good for the police budget.

Santa’s Workload

December 25, 2011 in Daily Bulletin

How many children does Santa have to deliver presents to every hour? Philip Bump at The Atlantic
decided to find out. He took into account several factors including the global distribution of children and the changing time zones. He assumed that only Christian children get a visit from Santa, and while the Centives staff can assure you that, from personal experience, this just isn’t true, it’s a fascinating analysis all the same. His findings include:

  • There are over 500 million Christian children under the age of 14 who Santa needs to deliver presents to.
  • That means that Santa has to deliver the presents at an overall rate of about 6,100 a second.
  • Assuming that Santa starts at the international date line and then goes west his schedule seems alright until he hits Europe and has to deliver presents to almost 100 million children

To read some of the other conclusions find the full article over here.

Merry Christmas everybody – we hope everyone is having a wonderful holiday season and we want to thank you all for making Centives such an outstanding success.

Source: The Atlantic

Via: Freakonomics

How Smartphones Transformed Carriers

December 22, 2011 in Daily Bulletin

Why was AT&T so desperate to acquire T-Mobile? The Wall Street Journal took a look at how the current generation of smartphones transformed the carrier business model. They note that hardware and software “app” makers have enjoyed the benefits of the rising use of smartphones while carriers have failed to capitalize on the boom. Some of the interesting points from the article include:

  • Carriers pay Apple a subsidy of $400 each time an individual opts to purchase an iPhone with a 2 year contract. The rationale behind this is that this subsidy will encourage customers to stay on the network over the long run and purchase more of the carrier’s services.
  • The average user paid carriers $46.09 a month this quarter, which is $2 less than last year.
  • Text messaging, which in the past has been an extremely profitable source of revenue for carriers, is being threatened by new apps that let smartphone users communicate with each other directly, for free.

To read more about the struggles that carriers face, click here.

Source: Wall Street Journal

When will the December 2011 LSAT Scores be Released?

December 21, 2011 in Editorial

Sometime in the next few days, thousands of aspiring lawyers across the United States will be receiving their LSAT results. But when exactly? The scores are scheduled to come out on Friday, the 6th of January. But in the past decade LSAT scores have always come out before their scheduled release. Is it possible to predict with any level of certainty exactly when the scores will actually come out? After our success at predicting the release date of the October 2011 LSAT, Centives decided to find out.

The short answer is that we think the scores will be released on W Read the rest of this entry →

The Buck Stops Here

December 20, 2011 in Daily Bulletin

In 2005 Congress launched a program that aimed to encourage the use of $1 coins in the United States. The mint was to produce $1 coins until 2016, however the program has failed and the government has decided to shut it down five years before schedule. Some fascinating statistics from the experiment to encourage the adoption of change include:

  • The dollar coins are so unpopular that US government vaults are packed with 1.4 billion of those coins.
  • There are enough of the coins to meet demand for a decade.
  • 40+% of the coins are returned to the treasury because people prefer not to keep the bulky coins.
  • The move will save taxpayers $50 million a year.

To read other interesting statistics related to the program click here.

Source: Wall Street Journal

Via: Freakonomics

$331 Billion in Exports to Mars in 2010?

December 19, 2011 in Daily Bulletin, Signature

The Economist reports that according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook, the world exported $331 billion more than it imported in 2010. The Economist offers two potential explanations for this phenomenon

  • Extraterrestrials are purchasing earthly goods. The Economist speculates that they may have acquired a taste for Louis Vuitton Handbags.
  • There are statistical errors in the numbers that country’s report. And these errors are increasing at a faster pace.

To find out some of the potential reasons for the statistical discrepancy as well as why the world switched from a global current account deficit to a global current account surplus read the full report over here.

Source: The Economist

Technology CEOs Report Card

December 18, 2011 in Daily Bulletin

Glassdoor.com produces an annual “Naughty and Nice” list for technology CEOs. Their most recent list had some interesting BLEHS

  • Despite an eventful year where Ballmer acquired Skype, launched the Mango update for Windows Phone, previewed Windows 8, and saw sales of the Xbox reach new highs, his approval ratings fell from 49% to 35%.
  • After a disastrous year where Netflix CEO Reed Hastings announced and then retracted several new initiatives such as Qwikster, and ended up sending an email to all Netflix subscribers apologizing for the confusion, his ratings fell from 79% to 61%.
  • Facebook, Google and Apple were rated as some of the best places to work in technology.

See GeekWire’s analysis of the report over here.

Source: GeekWire

The Norwegian Butter Crisis

December 17, 2011 in Daily Bulletin

How can the third richest country in the world (as measured by GDP per Capita) have a butter shortage? That’s the question that the Norwegian people are asking their government upon hearing that their butter supplies are to be rationed. The answer is simple: The Norwegian Dairy Cooperative has a monopoly on the domestic market, and bad weather this year hurt their dairy supplies. The Norwegian government has opted to relax tariffs on butter so that the rationing can be lifted. On the surface this is an important lesson on the value of Free Trade, but, as Slate
notes, there are some valid reasons for Norway to have trade restrictions on goods such as butter.

  • Norway is rich due to the discovery of off-shore oil reserves. This is a capital intensive industry that doesn’t employ many people.
  • The high value of the exports pushes up the value of the Norwegian currency making imports from abroad extremely cheap.
  • These two factors combine to create a problem where no industry aside from the oil industry can survive in Norway. While the Norwegian makes enough revenue from oil to guarantee a high income for the Norwegian people, even if they are unable to find jobs in the oil industry, there is a general deterioration in human capital as Norwegians do not gain any meaningful skills.
  • So that the country still has human resources and a future when the oil runs out, Norway protects several of its own industries.

To read more about how the Norwegian government invests its funds to ensure that its currency doesn’t appreciate too much as well as the government’s investments in its future click here.

Source: Slate

US Retail Sales Numbers Do Not Live up to Expectations

December 13, 2011 in Daily Bulletin


Bloomberg asked some economists about how the retail market would fare during November, but consumers did not put in as much money as some were expecting. The median expected gain by the economists was a .6% increase, however sales only went up .2% which was the bottom of the range of their expected outcomes. The article said that though sales in areas of the economy associated with gifts went up, the other areas went down as a sign that many consumers were making a choice on what to spend on rather than just spending more.  The article quoted economist Ryan Wang as saying, “Sales are growing, but they just aren’t accelerating.” Some more numbers from the article are:

  • There was a 2.1% increase of sales at electronics stores and a .5 percent increase at clothing stores
  • Unemployment fell to 8.6%
  • October and September outperformed their growth expectations by .1 and .2%
To learn more you can read the article here.
Source: Bloomberg

Bizarre Indicators of Economic Calamity

December 12, 2011 in Daily Bulletin

Cracked had a fascinating article that looked at the bizarre trends that appear to predict economic collapse. They include:

  • A surge in mosquitos
  • Prettier serving staff
  • A rise in dog-napping
  • Older Playboy
    bunnies
  • Sexual infidelity

To find out why each of those things change along with the strength of the economy, as well as to learn about other factors such as tie colours and the nature of advertisements, click here.

Source: Cracked