{"id":11379,"date":"2014-08-25T09:00:33","date_gmt":"2014-08-25T13:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/?p=11379"},"modified":"2014-08-25T07:51:23","modified_gmt":"2014-08-25T11:51:23","slug":"an-algorithm-for-predicting-supreme-court-rulings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/2014\/an-algorithm-for-predicting-supreme-court-rulings\/","title":{"rendered":"An Algorithm For Predicting Supreme Court Rulings"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/082514_1147_AnAlgorithm1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"642\" height=\"401\" \/><\/p>\n<p>David Kravets wrote about an equation created by researchers to predict Supreme Court rulings:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The model has a 70% accuracy rate when predicting the rulings of Supreme Courts going back 60 years.<\/li>\n<li>In contrast a Supreme Court fantasy league (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fantasyscotus.net\/\">seriously<\/a>) has found that its power players have an accuracy rate of about 75%.<\/li>\n<li>Fantasy SCOTUS and creators of the algorithm will soon be holding a competition to see which one is more accurate.<\/li>\n<li>If effective, the model could be used to help litigators determine their trial strategy.<\/li>\n<li>The model uses information about the justices such as the party that appointed them and the year they were born as variables.<\/li>\n<li>It also takes into account information about the case and the general disposition of the court among the 90 variables it tracks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Read about the model, how it works, why it&#8217;s better than models before it, and more over <a href=\"http:\/\/arstechnica.com\/science\/2014\/07\/algorithm-predicts-us-supreme-court-decisions-70-of-time\/\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/arstechnica.com\/science\/2014\/07\/algorithm-predicts-us-supreme-court-decisions-70-of-time\/\">ArsTechnica<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>David Kravets wrote about an equation created by researchers to predict Supreme Court rulings: The model has a 70% accuracy rate when predicting the rulings of Supreme Courts going back 60 years. In contrast a Supreme Court fantasy league (seriously) has found that its power players have an accuracy rate of about 75%. Fantasy SCOTUS [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11378,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11379","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-bulletin"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/08\/082514_1147_AnAlgorithm1.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11379","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11379"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11379\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11382,"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11379\/revisions\/11382"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11379"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11379"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.Centives.net\/S\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11379"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}