The Best Way To Get Peace? Break A Ceasefire

October 26, 2016 in Daily Bulletin

Stephen Snyder presented some baffling research on ceasefire agreements:

  • The vast majority of ceasefires – about 80% – fail.
  • But the best predictor of if a ceasefire will succeed is a high number of prior failed ceasefires.
  • This seems to be driven by a deeper commitment to secure peace after previous failed attempts.
  • With more experience, negotiators address the weaknesses of previous ceasefire agreements, ensuring more durable attempts in the future.

Read more at PRI.